Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Jerusalem not Expected to Respond Dramatically to PA Move at UN



by Herb Keinon

Senior diplomatic source says Israel doesn't want to make moves that divert attention from PA's violation of int'l agreements; new approach is stark contrast to previous threats about annulling Oslo, toppling Abbas.

United Nations HQ in New York  
Photo: Brendan McDermid/Reuters

Israel will take a "low profile" approach to the Palestinians' expected bid to upgrade their status at the UN on Thursday so as not to divert attention from the Palestinian Authority's violation of international agreements, a senior diplomatic source said Tuesday.

The source said that if Jerusalem, as some in the international community had feared, would greet the Palestinian move with a decision to build thousands of new housing units in the settlements, then that would become the center of attention, not the Palestinian step. "We will react at the right time," he said.
Israel's position is that the Palestinian resolution seeking observer state status is a clear violation of the underlying principle of the peace process requiring all outstanding issues to be resolved by negotiations.

The source's comments came even as senior Israeli officials were meeting in Washington with Administration officials to try and water down the ramifications of the resolution.

One idea being raised is that the legal consequences of the UN General Assembly accepting the Palestinians as a non-member observer state would not be retroactive. This means that if as a result of this decision the PA is able to take Israel to the International Criminal Court, they will not be able to make claims against Israel for anything that happened before the General Assembly resolution was passed.

The senior diplomatic official said that as a result of the Palestinian move, Israel would stick punctiliously to the letter of the agreements it has signed, including the 1994 Paris protocol mandating economic relations between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.  Under that protocol, Israel can withhold tax money it collects for the PA to pay for goods and services Israel provides them.

The PA currently has a more than a NIS 800 million debt to the Israel Electric Corporation, a debt that Israel will now most likely withhold in the two upcoming monthly tax payments scheduled to the PA.

According to the source, PA President Mahmoud Abbas is taking this move  now to cover up his domestic failures and his inability to "deliver" a better life to the Palestinians.

The recent events in Gaza have shown him to be irrelevant, the source said, and he is looking for ways to demonstrate his significance. "This move is not about the Palestinian people or a Palestinian state, but only his survival."

Although the source said that the move would elicit "fireworks in Ramallah," it will not change anything on the ground. The source added that Israel had no intention of issuing declarations or taking dramatic steps to "punish" the Palestinians for the move.

Rather, he said, "everything we can do according to Israeli law and international agreements, we will do."

This "low profile" policy is in stark opposition to comments Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman made earlier that Israel should cancel the Oslo accords and end all contact with the PA if Abbas went through with this measure at the UN.

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has been urged in recent weeks by both US and European diplomats not to take overly dramatic steps in response to the PA move, largely viewed as symbolic, but rather to wait and see what Abbas did with the resolution before deciding how to react.  Israeli officials said Netanyahu and Liberman were closely coordinated on this matter.

Israeli diplomatic officials, meanwhile, said that the Palestinians have turned down a British proposal that they commit to not taking Israel to the ICC, and to immediately restart the negotiations, in exchange for British support for the resolution.

The French, meanwhile, have said they will back the resolution. French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said as much Tuesday in the French National Assembly.

Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy first broached this idea to the Palestinians of going to the UN General Assembly as compensation for not favoring their move last year to seek full statehood recognition by the UN Security Council.  It would now be difficult for the French not to support the proposal, an Israeli foreign ministry source said Tuesday.

While many in the EU had hoped that the 27-member union would be able to muster a consensus on the issue, this is looking less and less likely with some of the EU countries expected to support the move, others to oppose, and still others to abstain.

Herb Keinon

Source: http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article.aspx?id=293694

Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors.

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